SLP KDBH Extracts - Flipbook - Page 68
Justification
Local Housing Need
220.
Since the revised National Planning Policy Framework (NPPF) was published in July 2018,
councils have been required to calculate their local housing need (LHN) using the
Government's standard methodology. For the base year 1st April 2020, the LHN is 807
dwellings per annum, which over the plan period would result in a need for 12,912 dwellings.
Data source
Number
Households at 2020
90,937
Households at 2030
97,259
10 year difference in number of households
Annual average increase in no. of households
Median house price
Median workplace earnings
Affordability ratio
Affordability increase28
Adjusted household projections annual average
increase (ie the LHN)
Plan period
No. of years in plan period
No. of dwellings required during plan period –
Minimum LHN
6,322
632
£277,500
£32,970
8.42
27.6%
807
2020-36
16
12,912
221.
National planning practice guidance is clear that the LHN provides a minimum starting point
in determining the number of homes needed in an area and it explains when it might be
appropriate to plan for a higher housing need figure that the standard methodology indicates.
This has been addressed in the HEDNA which has considered whether the UK Central Hub
proposals represent a deliverable growth strategy that is likely to exceed past trends. The
HEDNA concludes it is and has therefore looked to see what additional workforce may be
required. On the basis that the standard methodology provides for higher jobs growth than
baseline predictions indicate are necessary; and if commuter patterns for employment in the
UK Central Hub area remain at 2011 census levels then a small increase to 816 dpa would
be justified. Over the plan period this would result in a need for Solihull of 13,056.
222.
This housing growth can be delivered through sites with planning permission, suitable
deliverable sites identified within the Strategic Housing and Economic Land Availability
Assessment, locations proposed for allocation by this policy and unidentified windfall sites,
28
The formula in the standard methodology converts the ratio into a percentage increase to be applied to the
household projections.
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