TBNSW Breeders Update Autumn 2018 - Page 5

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Timeform Review
of the Melbourne and Sydney 2018 Autumn Carnivals
By Alex Steedman and Gary Crispe, photos courtesy of Sportpix.
Racing and Sports’ Timeform experts recap the key
performances through the 2018 autumn carnivals.
The evidence shows that at the age
of six Winx remains as good as she
has ever been.
Race standardisation analysis points
to Winx having achieved a rating
within a tight range of 128-133,
as did the ratings profiles of the
other runners going into the race
and where they finished - Humidor
running well below form, Happy
Clapper just below (typical for him
at 2000m) and Gailo Chop running
exactly to form.
A figure of 134, on the high-side
of that range, was arrived at by
factoring in sectional times.
The evidence shows that at the age of six Winx remains as good as she has ever been.
Five Year Olds & Upwards
Older horses featured prominently
throughout the autumn and their
charge was spearheaded by none
other than champion mare Winx who
graced the turf on three occasions.
It was an electrifying way to bring
up a 25th straight success, coming
from last at the 800m to round up
a good quality 2000m field and win
comfortably by almost four lengths.
Winx returned for an autumn
campaign after a spring preparation
where while she remained unbeaten
and claimed a third straight Cox
Plate, gave her adoring fans a host
of nervous moments with a number
of narrow victories.
Winx was clearly facing a quality
field, with Doncaster Mile and
Epsom Handicap winner Happy
Clapper engaged along with
multiple Group 1 winner Humidor
– both possessing a Timeform
rating of 129.
Followers of the Chris Wallertrained mare could watch the
mare stress free this autumn as
she strung together three clinical
successes culminating in the Group
1 Queen Elizabeth Stakes (2000m) at
Randwick on April 14.
In addition, multiple group one
winner Gailo Chop (125) and former
Japanese galloper Ambitious (122)
provided further depth.
A steady tempo in the race meant
that the overall time was only
fair but it only adds merit to the
performance of Winx with the wide
margins on the line even more
impressive in that scenario.
From the 800m mark Winx’s
finishing speed was 109.3%. An
overall time rating of ~104 can be
considered to be ~132 based on that
closing speed.
That, somewhat remarkably, equals
her best overall timefigure to date,
achieved when winning the 2016
Cox Plate.
One of Australia’s leading weightfor-age features each season, Winx
has now won back to back renewals
of the event, the first horse to
achieve the feat since Grand Armee
in 2004/05.
Careful analysis shows that
Winx matched her previous best
Timeform rating of 134.


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