SLCNA Report February 2020 - Report - Page 8
V. Secondary Data Profile: Demographics
The following chart presents the senior population data and the average annual compounded percentage
change forecasted between 2017 and 2022 for defined study area of Dauphin and Cumberland County
(ESRI, 2020). The age cohorts profiled below all show growth, with the largest growth in ages 75 to 79.
The percentage change of the total population is minimal at less than 1%.
This analysis illustrates that the majority of the younger age cohorts and those in the working age
population, do not keep pace with the growth of the senior population. These demographic trends
indicate that the challenges attracting and retaining a sufficient workforce to support the increasing
needs of the senior population will continue and worsen in future years.
2017 – 2022 Population Change for Senior Population within the Study Area
Dauphin and Cumberland Counties
Total Population
Age 65 to 69 Population
Age 70 to 74 Population
Age 75 to 79 Population
Age 80 to 84 Population
Age 85 plus Population
Total 65 plus
2017
(Estimated)
Population
530,235
31,212
22,617
15,676
11,656
13,332
94,493
2022
(Projected)
Population
550,437
34,976
29,183
20,567
13,144
14,047
111,917
Average Annual Compounded
% Change
2017 – 2022
0.7%
2.3%
5.2%
5.6%
2.4%
1.1%
3.4%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2010 Summary File 1. Esri Forecasts for 2017 and 2022
Gender can be an influencer of health, and therefore a review of the distribution of gender for the
population age 65+ is indicated in the chart below. In comparison, our combined convenience sample
consisted of 79.3% female and 20.6% male.
2017 Estimated Senior Population Age 65+ by Gender
in Dauphin and Cumberland Counties
Male
44%
Female
56%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2010 Summary File 1. Esri Forecasts for 2017 and 2022
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