China Energy Outlook 2020 - Flipbook - Page 163
China National Petroleum
Corporation Research Institute of
Economics and Technology.
World and China Energy Outlook
to 2050, 2018 version.
China National Renewable Energy
Center. 2018. China Renewable
Energy Outlook.
China primary energy consumption
peaks/plateaus around 2035-2040 at
about 5.6 Btce.
Energy related CO2
emissions peak before 2030.
Primary energy consumption peaks in
2025.
2019 IEA World Energy Outlook –
Stated Policies Scenario
China primary energy consumption
continues to grow but at a slower pace to
2040, reaching 5680 Mtce in 2040.
CO2 emissions peak at
slightly higher than 10
GtCO2 around 2020, and
reach 4 GtCO2 in 2050
Energy related CO2
emissions peak at 2025 at
10.0 GtCO2.
2019 BP Energy Outlook (China
section)
Energy demand growth will decline to an
average of 1.1% per year, resulting in an
average 3.4% annual decline in economic
energy intensity. In absolute terms, energy
demand will increase from 4,490 Mtce to
5,744 Mtce.
China’s primary energy consumption will
grow to 5.1 Btce in 2030 and 5.3 btce in
2040.
2019 ExxonMobil Outlook
Bloomberg New Energy Finance
New Energy Outlook 2019
Peak coal generation is in 2027.
Electricity replaces coal and oil as
the main source of energy by
2040, representing 35% of total
energy consumption.
China’s CO2 emissions peak
by 2022.
China’s electricity system
reached 37% renewable
penetration by 2027.
By 2050, China has 1.3 TW of
Solar PV and 1.2 TW of wind
installed capacity. Nuclear grows
to 182 GW by 2050.
China’s wind and solar grow from
8% to 48% of total generation by
2050.
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China energy-related CO2
emissions peak around 2025
at 9.6 GtCO2, and decline to
8.5 Gt in 2040.
Coal generation related CO2
emissions peaks by 2027.