China Energy Outlook 2020 - Flipbook - Page 159
potential (GWP). In particular, variable refrigerant flow (VRF) is a rapidly growing category of
multi-split air conditioning (AC) systems that now accounts for a quarter and more than half of
the global and Chinese markets, respectively. This report reviews the multi-split AC market in
China and its key demand growth drivers, followed by a detailed market assessment of the
Chinese multi-split market by size and capacity, by efficiency levels, and by manufacturers. A
summary of the global market and recent technology trends and refrigerant choices is also
provided to inform revision of the 2008 China minimum energy performance standards (MEPS)
for multi-connected AC equipment and revision of MEPS for multi-connected AC equipment
globally.
Industrial Sector Energy Use
Liu, X., Lin, J., Hu, J., Lu, H., and Cai, J. "Economic Transition, Technology Change, and Energy
Consumption in China: A Provincial-Level Analysis" Energies 12.13 (2019) 2581.
https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/12/13/2581
Abstract. This paper conducts panel analysis to evaluate the effects of a structural economic
shift from the industrial to the tertiary sector, a reduction in industrial overcapacity, and
improvements in energy efficiency on energy consumption using data for 30 Chinese provinces
from 1995 to 2015. We find that, at the national level, the structural shift to the tertiary sector,
the reduction in cement and steel production, and the increase in energy efficiency in the
industrial sector all have statistically significantly negative effects. We also divide the sample
into three geographic and economic regions to evaluate regional differences. We find that the
gross domestic product (GDP) share of the tertiary sector shows its greatest impact on reducing
energy consumption in the eastern region, a decline in heavy industry production would reduce
energy demand more in the central region, and improvement in industrial electricity efficiency
would also help reduce energy consumption the most in eastern China. We also forecast energy
consumption in China will reach 4.8–4.9 billion tonnes of coal equivalent (tce) in 2020 and
further grow to 5.0–5.4 billion tce in 2030.
Liu, X., Shen, B., Price, L., Hasanbeigi, A., Lu, H., Yu, C., and Fu, G. "A review of international
practices for energy efficiency and carbon emissions reduction and lessons learned for
China." WIRES Energy and Environment (2019). https://doi.org/10.1002/wene.342
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