China Energy Outlook 2020 - Flipbook - Page 57
Table 2-1 provides a summary of China’s 2018 progress in achieving key energy and energyrelated CO2 emissions targets. Overall, China is on-track to achieve most of its 2020 and 2030
energy and energy-related CO2 emissions goals.
Table 2-1. Tracking China’s Achievement of Key Energy and Energy-Related Emissions Goals: 2018
Progress, 2020 Goals, and 2030 Goals
2018 Actual
Energy intensity reduction
(energy/GDP)
Carbon intensity reduction (CO2/GDP)
Hydropower capacity
Wind power capacity
Nuclear power capacity
Solar power capacity
Biomass power capacity
Services sector value added (% of
GDP)
Share of coal in primary energy use
Total coal consumption cap (Mtce)
Primary energy consumption cap
(Mtce)
Share of natural gas in primary
energy use
Share of non-fossil energy in primary
energy use*
Share of non-fossil power generation
(% of total generation)
Carbon intensity reduction 2005 base
year (CO2/GDP)
Peaking of energy-related CO2
2020 Goals
2030 Goals
Target Source
12% below 2015
15% below 2015
13th Five Year Plan
14% below 2015
352.3 GW
184.3 GW
44.7 GW
174.6 GW
N/A
18% below 2015
380 GW
210 GW
58 GW
110 GW**
15 GW
13th Five Year Plan
13th Five Year Plan
13th Five Year Plan
13th Five Year Plan
13th Five Year Plan
13th Five Year Plan
52.2%
56
13th Five Year Plan
59%
2740
15%
14.3%
~15%
> 20% (~20%)
13th Five Year Plan
13th Five Year Plan
13th Five Year Plan; Energy
Revolution Strategy
13th Five Year Plan; Energy
Revolution Strategy
13th Five Year Plan; Energy
Revolution Strategy (Paris
Agreement NDC)
30.9%
> 50%
Energy Revolution Strategy
47%
60%-65%
Paris Agreement NDC
still increasing
by 2030 or
earlier
Paris Agreement NDC
Sources: Liu, L., 2019, NDRC and NEA, 2016; PRC, 2016; UNFCCC, 2018.
* The energy value of primary electricity (e.g., renewables, nuclear) was converted using China’s own Power Plant Coal
Consumption method in which electricity sources are converted to standard units based on the average heat rate of
Chinese coal-fired power plants each year. For a comparison of China’s electricity conversion method to those used
internationally, see Lewis et al., 2015.
** including 5 GW concentrated solar power
13th Five Year Plan, 2016-2020
The 13th Five Year Plan for Economic and Social Development of the People’s Republic of China
(13th FYP), covering the period 2016 to 2020, is a comprehensive document that provides
overall guidance related to China’s development including economic, social, cultural,
environmental, educational, and other goals and aspirations (PRC, 2016).
Focusing on environmental development goals, the 13th FYP provides the following major
objectives:
“Achieve an overall improvement in the quality of the environment and ecosystems. Our
modes of production and ways of life will become more eco-friendly and low-carbon. We
will extract and use energy and resources with much greater efficiency. Aggregate energy
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